extracted text

1

I72I+

Dir/C

i

/O^PH^X^i^.

October 9th

50.

H/G.A

dr A.L.Gruenbaum
Governïnêrit of Israel
Prime Minister's Office
Economie Research Departi-ent
5, Rehov B
Hakiryah
Tel A V iV
Israel

Dear dr Gruenbaum,
I thank you for your letter of August I5th, No.uOI6/528,
in. which you sent me a svsr-marj of the Israeli Four Year Development Plan, at the same time inviting me to give some racsarks
and cormient.
As I am highly interested in planning, I took great pleasure
in reading JOVT report, which gives a quite comprehensive view
of the development Brohlems of the Israeli economy. The internal
consistency of the figures and tables in my opinion ranks very
high. The only question which at soir-e points may arise relates
to the ivay in which the figures are obtained, but I think this
will at greater length be described in the original detailed
plans,
.„
.
^
.^
As to the character of the plan figures (forecasts or target^s;
the report obser^/es that they n^ist on the whole be con's idered as
targets. I quite agree that this is the only possible way of
constructing a consistent plan, but nevertheless it inay be important to give some idea of the attainableness of the quantitative
targets. I am convinced that this noint, too, \ifill more especially be stressed in the sector plans. There is one general aspect,
iiox^sver, wlich might be given more ejnphasis in the general part,
viz., the problem of monetary equilibrium. In a developnp.ent plan
like this'an inflationary tendency might easily arise. Of course
it will be possible to create sufficient involuntary savings by
means of rationing and price control, but the crucial point is
to absorb this "floating purchasing power" for the financing of
the investHQnt. prograrfi. Of course you will be aware of this
problem, but it might perhaps be more fully treated in the
report.

.0^

rit9

iscfotoo

o\iïa

4zsi

kO\E

[pBiel Je

tnerffCfievoO

r •

'"^

a voriefi ,5
dBXiï:iB'A

V 1 V A

I e T
leeiel

erfiusdneyTiO ib

iseü

,3SA^tOïi,oll ,rft^r tai;§üA l o l e t t e C rrwoY l o l UOY jfnsrit l"
-qoHsveÖ i^^eï' 10c*? i t e s i a l erft I c
re s &m Snes. uox
^'
Biliöffrei 30105 ©vlg o t sm s n t t i v i . n -:'ïS emsB 9rit t e ,niu.i. -.ii'-.aï
9i0839lq t s e i g 3fpot. I ,sfü:nxis£q «1 bsteeiecfnl x^
veï'
' • -'^'"—"oo ö t i u p s s ö v l s riolriw ^tioo©'
leme'
,
00© i l s s i a l erft l o smeldoiq tYtev BilaBi noJtnlqo x^\ nï a s l d s t bnB g s i ü g t l ©rit '10

c i ;..i.
^rit l o
'>

sirit :ilntd^ I ttfd ,^
Si'ï erf*
rf»'
^sw ©rit o t
bsIJtsteb I s n J : s i i o ©rft n l ö e d i i o s e b ©d rit§n©i: •i©3-s©is t s I l i w
.anslq
(2;:t9§ist 10 r t p ^ o e i o l ) g s i i / s l l n s l q ©rft l o letDsierio ©rit o t aA
SS be^o
©d ©Toriw ©rft no tewm '\j9rft t s r i t aev^sado t i o q e t ©rit
l o »' ;>3w cId.ts3oq Yï^«<> ©rf* e l elrit tarft ©©-tse ©ttuo I
" ist
-t"*oqml ©d ^sm t i aBelBd:iiBveci iud ..fiBlq t n e t a l s n o o s giTl;
:f!O0
©vttstlc'-na^p ©rit l o e e e n e l d s n l s t t f i ©rit l o s©bl ©öjoe e v l s o t t n s
-Isloeqs
""* , o o t ^tnloq H±rft tsrf:" "
- -ƒ
ttoeqsB ,
.. - :o a± ©isriT .sflBlq l o t :
''
« t i s q IsTBBnes ©rit n l eleerfqtffl© ©lom n e v l s ®d tri§lm
i
n s l q t' : " ' t l l n p © ijtstenofl! '"
oa^ ,c:zv
©aitrc^ •
........ „_
^ -. .,,_ji xï>o:©t'n©t \;^6no.'
i^Jtrit ©:^I
X<i i
a " ^ « t m / I o v n l tnsJfcolllüe ©ts©io o t ©Idl aaoq ©d XXlw ft
nï Jaxoq I s l ö ^ n o ©rit iad , I o i t n o o e o l i q bnr
* olts^ï "
':?
"'O «inf'^rrfj.jtll ©rit *!©1 "lewoq SP^ssrioiJLrq Tr^nittalrit •
:i
l o 91SW6 ©d IXlw iPQi »8iu©9 1
--^^^Mmm^ibBvat
«rit
©rit n l betBDït Y^Xtil ©tofflf ©d aqBrf'raw jristw il ttrc'
' ' ;:T

- 2 -

On the whole your r e p o r t pisiy be considered as an Important
exarnple of o v e r - a l l developrrient plannin^:, anö as such i t w i l l
probably be of g r e a t i n t e r e s t to planners a l l over the world,
I hope you will sea my few remarks In the light of my
appreciation for your pioneer work.
May I further request you to keep me informed of the further
experiences in planning with the Israeli economy? Proir, wy part
I will put you on our mailing list, so that you will autornstically receive our published planning reports. To ray regret most
of our publications are only available in Butch, but perhaps
it will be possible for you to have thera translated by sorae
economist of Dutch origin^. Under seperate cover I am sending you
our recently published plan for 1950,
I hope that our contact will be of value for both sides
and for the developraent of planning in general.
Truly yours,

(J,Tinbergen)
Director of the
©entral Planning
Bureau

- s -

inBt^ocjaï as as
tenoo ed xsi^ ^loqe-ï ivcx ©lorivr sdó nt
irj:w':ti riotre £. .-.; ,-.rfr--trtc=;Xq jnetBQoEevsb I l s - t e v o I c elqinsxe
.bliow 9fW 18vo i r s e> c;^ ;f8918:^01 ;fse*is l o ecf xLdBÖO'ï.q
^dfl 1c id^tl
edi ni aiiisiaei wel x<^ 8®e IlJtw uo-^ ©qori I
«iliow l e e n o l q itro-^j; t o l nolïetoeTfrrfs
nerf*1L'*^ erfcT l o b ^ n i o l n l &m qe©3{ o* tfoy cfasupsi leri^^'iirl I v.
d-isq -^Pf :5ici'? ?Y-^onooe .tEesisI erf* rf^lw a n l n a s l q a i eeoneiisqx©
-or-*--^^jJB I I l w ucy, :tsrf;t oe , : r a l l gn-f^f'^" -^ff^ «o UCY ;tüq £X£w I
:f
'T'^et vffl oT .Ed^ioqei ^ n i n a s l a
"^ "ÏWO e v l e o e i ^XIs
EO
^ Irjd jrfoctwa nt ©Icfslisvs Y^ao ©«ÏÜ anoint sol.f duq isso lo
©i.:< - d bed-slensid^ f^^' "•'' '^^VBri o;J ÜOY 'rol e l d i a a o q ed I I l w d-.!:
tfoy, sn-tbries'jtfB I tevoD e;t
. TsfonU . f n l b c i o rio:fua l o ^Bloffonoo©
.O'^Pr l o l n s l q bsriailduq xLineoei
luo
Bsbtz dioy ;. . uU .sv l o od I l i w :fosd-noo l u o iarfd eqori I
. i B i e n e s «1 snlfinslq l o ;ta8niqoIev9b offit l o l b a s
,810O^c vIiiiT

(fles-ïednlT.t.)
Qdè l o Tiod-oeilQ
golnnsl*! Xeirt-neQ
yseii/S